12/4 NBA Picks

I’m going to start doing these differently now. Instead of trying to write out an entire article for each individual pick, I’m going to pick one to go in depth on, and just include the rest of my picks at the bottom.

Tonight’s featured pick: Phoenix Suns -2 @ Orlando Magic

Why I like this pick?

  1. The Magic are on the 2nd night of a back-to-back and will be playing their 4th game in 6 days after winning in Washington last night. That game finished around 9:30 PM EST, which means the Magic probably didn’t arrive back home in Orlando until early Wednesday morning, which could be detrimental to their recovery time. Fultz, Fournier, Gordon, and Isaac, all played over 30 minutes last night, and Birch and Augustin played close to 30 as well, so all the key players for the Magic could be winded as we hit the 2nd half. While it will also be the 4th game in 6 days for the Suns, and a road game no less, the fact that the Suns had an east coast game on Monday leads me to believe there should be minimal issues with time-zone adjustments, and think the Suns can win this game by 3 or more points.
  2. Injuries: The Magic have been without their 2nd leading scorer and leading rebounder, Nikola Vucevic, for multiple weeks now, and they also recently lost a major bench contributor in Al-Farouq Aminu to a torn meniscus. Not only that, last night, back-up guard, Michael Carter-Williams, got hit in the face unintentionally by Bradley Beal, resulting in blood spilling everywhere from his nose, forcing him to leave the game for the night. He will also be out for this one. So not only do you have a team with tired legs, but they are also short-handed. Any foul trouble would cripple this team tonight, and the margin for error is even smaller now.

Bottom line, this is simply a situational spot that I like, just as last night was a spot I liked for Orlando going up against a Wizards team that just spent a week on a west coast road trip. I think the combination of tired legs and injuries will be too much for the Magic to overcome in this game, which is why I like the Suns -1.5. Below I have added my other plays that I like for the night.

  • LAL +2
  • ATL +3.5
  • MIA +5.5
  • POR -5 *added 8:04PM EST

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